Foundations of Prediction Markets

Foundations of Prediction Markets

Modeling, Simulation, and Empirical Evidence

Lin, Hung-Wen; Yeh, Jason; Tung, Chen-Yuan; Chen, Shu-Heng; Chie, Bin-Tzong; Tai, Chung-Ching

Springer Verlag, Japan

04/2025

500

Dura

Inglês

9784431552291

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?Ch1 Introduction and Overview.- Ch2 Friedrich Hayek and Information Aggregation.- Ch3 Testing Hayek Hypothesis: An Experimental Economic Approach .- Ch4 From Market Experiments to Prediction Markets.- Ch5 Economic Theory of Prediction Markets: A Neo-Classical Approach.- Ch6 Complexity Thinking in Economics: Agent-Based Computational Economics.- Ch7 Agent-Based Modeling of Prediction Markets.- Ch8 Spatial Agent-Based Prediction Markets: Homogeneous Agents.- Ch9 Spatial Agent-Based Prediction Markets: Heterogeneous Agents.- Ch10 Alvin Roth and Market Design.- Ch11 Can We Trust Prediction Markets? .- Ch12 Empirical Study of Prediction Market Performance.- Ch13 Roles of Smart Players in the Markets.- Ch14 Models to Predict Prediction Markets.- Ch15 Conclusions.- Appendix A Exchange of Future Events .- Appendix B NetLogo.
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Agent-Based Modeling;Artificial Agents;Artificial Markets;Experimental Economics;Market Experiments;Prediction Markets